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Dan goes cynical

2004-02-10 17:27:31.301493+00 by Dan Lyke 6 comments

If I were totally cynical, which I'm not, I'd set up a web site with a betting pool for which day in October of this year Osama bin Laden will be captured.

[ related topics: Politics Current Events WTC/Pentagon attacks ]

comments in ascending chronological order (reverse):

#Comment Re: made: 2004-02-10 17:35:35.278028+00 by: aiworks [edit history]

Take a look at this: http://www.tradesports.com

Look under Current Events->Intl Events. You can buy or sell futures contracts on Osama bin Laden's capture in March, June, September, or December.

#Comment Re: made: 2004-02-10 19:50:00.443673+00 by: mkelley

I'm betting sometime in October....because if it were closer to 9.11, they it would be too obvious.

#Comment Re: made: 2004-02-10 20:29:42.512313+00 by: Dan Lyke

September 11th is also nearly two months before the election. That's longer than a president can be sure of riding the glow into re-election.

#Comment Re: made: 2004-02-11 01:41:18.524721+00 by: dws

I'll take October 11, for the symbolism.

#Comment Re: made: 2004-02-11 18:50:57.872198+00 by: Dan Lyke

Larry thinks I'm being too cynical, but remember that it wouldn't take holding him somewhere in secret, it'd just take keeping intelligence that pinpoints his location throttled. However, generally I agree that this is a little bit too cynical.

David Chess had a link to some compelling arguments that Al-Qaida Will Do Whatever It Takes To Assure Bush Is Re-elected.

#Comment Re: made: 2004-02-25 21:49:06.573335+00 by: Dan Lyke

U.S. military feels renewed urgency in hunt for bin Laden:

"The sands in their hour glass are running out," Lt. Col. Matthew Beevers, a spokesman for the U.S. military in Afghanistan, said of bin Laden and other fugitives.

How much sand...?