Flutterby™! : Bandwidth Bet update #2

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Bandwidth Bet update #2

2004-11-23 17:47:56.852263+00 by TC 4 comments

Magic 8 Ball "Signs Look favorable" http://www.ntia.doc.gov/reports/anol/

I would predict(but not altering bet) that this will be over before 2010. I don't think we stated the stakes yet. I was thinking perhaps a Macallan 18 on my side, what were you thinking on your side (no doubt an Islay smokey monster)

Update #1 http://www.flutterby.com/archives/comments/7091.html

Original Bet http://www.flutterby.com/archives/comments/3300.html

[ related topics: Wines and Spirits Archival Dan and Todd's Bandwidth Bet ]

comments in ascending chronological order (reverse):

#Comment Re: made: 2004-11-23 18:21:37.69585+00 by: Dan Lyke

The thing that's giving me most concern in this bet isn't the notion that everyone will have broadband, because I'm fairly sure that the size of the information streams will expand similarly (ie: high def TV), it's the whole "podcasting" notion of staggered delivery.

But infrastructure to allow 24-7 on-demand for a majority of subscribers? I'm still thinking "broadcast".

#Comment Re: made: 2004-11-23 18:26:06.082832+00 by: Dan Lyke

And we should make sure that future posts are added to the appropriate topic.

#Comment Re: made: 2004-11-23 22:15:22.823042+00 by: TC

mmmmkay not sure exactly where you are going with this. If people have broadband capability then they "now" have the ability for on demand entertainment.

If your refering to enough broadband for all users to use their full bandwidth at the same time that's kinda going back to weasleland too. We all have real time 24/7 on demand water supply but if everyone turned on their garden hose at the same time the system would fail.

BTW what you consider http://www.live365.com/index.live On Demand or Broadcast?

Your right about topic (great way to track things like this)

Pick a scotch

#Comment Re: made: 2004-11-24 03:43:40.779476+00 by: Dan Lyke

My point has always been that it wasn't that individuals had the capability to have on-demand entertainment, it was that for either social or technical reasons, the combination of those who use it and when they use it won't be the majority.

I assert that people will still sit down on Tuesday nights to watch a sitcom that's available broadcast on those nights. Tivo does somewhat throw a wrench in how that'll be defined, but...

On Live365, I'm not sure how to define that, socially it's broadcast, if I'm listening in my office and you're listening in yours we're both hearing the same thing, but since I believe it's using a protocol that's point-to-point (and we'll have fun when scaling becomes an issue) we could also classify it as on-demand. If I remember the economics of the licensing, I think that the various music licensing providers still classify that as "broadcast", since it's going to a large number of people simultaneously.