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Riots make people Republican

2017-02-02 16:03:22.469122+00 by Dan Lyke 0 comments

New Study Shows Riots Make America Conservative. This is why there are agitators.

The paper is Do Protest Tactics Matter? Evidence from the 1960s Black Insurgency:

Examining county-level voting patterns, I find that black-led protests in which some violence occurs are associated with a statistically significant decline in Democratic vote-share in the 1964, 1968 and 1972 presidential elections. Black-led nonviolent protests, by contrast, exhibit a statistically significant positive relationship with county-level Democratic vote-share in the same period. Further, I find that in the 1968 presidential election exposure to violent protests caused a decline in Democratic vote- share. Examining counterfactual scenarios in the 1968 election, I estimate that fewer violent protests are associated with a substantially increased likelihood that the Democratic presidential nominee, Hubert Humphrey, would have beaten the Republican nominee, Richard Nixon. As African Americans were strongly identified with the Democratic party in this time period, my results suggest that, in at least some contexts, political violence by a subordinate group may contribute to a backlash among segments of the dominant group and encourage outcomes directly at odds with the preferences of the protestors.

Note, paper is from a guy's private web site, has not been peer reviewed, so I only got there from the New York Magazine article above and have no good vetting of it.

Via crasch.

[ related topics: Politics Invention and Design moron Television Civil Liberties New York Race ]

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