Flutterby™! : Kessler event probabilities

Kessler event probabilities

2025-12-12 23:44:49.476648+01 by Dan Lyke 0 comments

An Orbital House of Cards: Frequent Megaconstellation Close Conjunctions Sarah Thiele, Skye R. Heiland, Aaron C. Boley, Samantha M. Lawler

Our calculations show the CRASH Clock is currently 2.8 days, which suggests there is now little time to recover from a wide-spread disruptive event, such as a solar storm. This is in stark contrast to the pre-megaconstellation era: in 2018, the CRASH Clock was 121 days.

Via Prof. Sam Lawler @sundogplanets@mastodon.social (that entire thread is worth a perusal).

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