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Personal COVID-19 status

2020-11-13 20:51:48.507718+01 by Dan Lyke 1 comments

Last night Charlene and I were talking about what, if anything, we wanted to do for Thanksgiving. We got married on Thanksgiving eve, so we kind-of celebrate it as an anniversary, and often go somewhere to get-away. We were thinking about where that might be, what we could see, and we started digging into COVID-19 data. And we decided that we're not going anywhere.

It looks like Sonoma County is running 70-100 new cases per day, population 500k, so I dunno, that's somewhere between 100 and 140 new cases per hundred thousand per 7 days? CDC is claiming California is running 17/100k/7 days, so we're way over that, North Dakota is almost 170/100k/7 days. So Sonoma County's reluctance to actually take this seriously (see our Sheriff's deliberate undermining of efforts, for instance) is not helping our case rate at all.

And then, of course, that led to looking at international data and strategies, and the US is at 10M acknowledged cases and about .25k deaths, so either we've got a lot of shadow cases, or the US's death rate sucks relative to developed nations. I suspect a combination of the two.

It's kind-of astounding. And we're gonna be hunkering down here at home for quite a while longer.

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#Comment Re: Personal COVID-19 status made: 2020-11-15 15:37:08.737938+01 by: DaveP

Here in NM we’ll be on lockdown for Thanksgiving, but even without the state’s stay at home order, we’d planned to be hunkering down through the first of the year, if not the whole winter. There’s just too much spread out in the community at the moment.

The biggest hassle is that with the official lockdown order coming out on Friday, there has been panic-shopping at all the stores all weekend, which likely means I won’t be able to do any special shopping for holiday food. Oh well. The larder is pretty well provisioned, and if TP is in short supply, we have a bidet.